11/08 2024 569
What impact will Trump's election as US President have on global AI? I asked 10 agents
What impact will Trump's election as US President have on global AI? 10 agents give you the answer
What impact will Trump's election as US President have on global AI? See what the agents say
Text/Wang Jiwei
In the wave of artificial intelligence, every major change in global politics can become a key factor affecting the trajectory of technological development. In 2024, with news of Trump's election as the new President of the United States spreading worldwide, global attention once again focused on this controversial political figure. His policies, propositions, and actions will have a profound impact on the global political and economic landscape, and artificial intelligence, as one of the most transformative technologies in today's world, naturally cannot stay out of it.
Trump is known for his nationalist and protectionist policies, which have had a significant impact on global trade and international relations in recent years. His "America First" policy may lead to a reorganization of global supply chains, posing challenges to cross-border cooperation and technological exchanges in the AI industry. Meanwhile, Trump's tight stance on immigration policy may affect the United States' ability to attract top global technology talent, thereby impacting AI research and innovation.
As AI has developed, large language models and agents have become the mainstream trend. With the popularity of AI agents, AI search has made some progress, and many friends now abandon traditional search and use AI search to understand various events. In addition to the existing AI search products on the market, chatbot applications of various large language models now support web search. For example, chatbot applications such as ChatGPT and Kimi now basically integrate various "tool use" functions such as online search, image generation, and data analysis, and some even add reasoning technologies such as Chain of Thought (CoT), evolving into chat assistant agent applications officially launched by large language models. Regarding the impact of Trump's inauguration on the global AI industry, Wang Jiwei Channel asked several large models related questions, but the results felt incomplete. Suddenly, it occurred to me that if I asked more large models, might I get a more comprehensive answer? So, Wang Jiwei Channel found chatbot agents based on 10 global large language models, which are ChatGPT, Kimi, ERNIE Bot, Tongyi Qianwen, Doubao, Tencent Yuanbao, 360 Brain, iFLYTEK Spark, AISpeech, and Tiangong AI. I posed the same question to them to see how they would respond. The question posed: What impact will Trump's election as the new President of the United States in 2024 have on the AI industries of the United States, China, and the world? Share your thoughts.
The entire process was simple, involving only inputting and sending questions in different chatbot applications. They are all agents capable of understanding the intent of user questions and performing task analysis, planning, and execution, so there is no need to input structured prompts defining roles, skills, and restrictions as before.
The free basic models of each platform were used here. At the same time, as it was necessary to read webpages online and summarize them, these chatbots needed to be able to perform web searches. Therefore, these 10 products were ultimately selected for Q&A.
To avoid making this article too long, the answers given by each agent are presented to you in a summarized and screenshot format. Let's take a look at their output results.
1. ChatGPT
ChatGPT believes that Trump's re-election as President of the United States in 2024 will have a significant impact on the global AI industry, especially in the United States and China. His policy proposals to reduce federal regulation and promote market-driven AI development, in contrast to the Biden administration's increased regulation, may promote commercialization but increase the risks of technology abuse and privacy concerns. The Trump administration may intensify competition between China and the US in AI and technology, restricting China's access to key technologies through export controls, prompting China to increase independent research and development and accelerate the construction of a self-sufficient technological ecosystem.
Furthermore, Trump may reduce US participation in the formulation of international AI standards, leading to global AI governance differences, forming technological "islands," and increasing challenges for global enterprises in data sharing and technological cooperation. The Trump administration may also promote the application of AI in the military and defense sectors, strengthen private companies' participation in military technology development, enhancing US military superiority but also bringing ethical and security risks associated with the weaponization of AI.
ChatGPT summarized this issue by searching and reading 3 webpages, with an output of 820 words.
2. Kimi
Kimi believes that Trump's re-election as President of the United States may significantly impact the global AI industry. For the United States, his policies may reduce regulation in the AI field, promoting industrial development and capital injection but may also trigger public concerns about AI risks due to insufficient regulation. The Trump administration may also view AI as a national strategy to maintain global leadership, including supporting research and development and data openness.
For China, the Trump administration may strengthen suppression of the Chinese AI industry, limiting its development in the global industrial and supply chains, forcing China to increase independent research and development efforts to reduce dependence on external technologies.
Globally, Trump's policies may increase trade and technological barriers, affecting international cooperation and exchanges. Global public concern about AI is rising, along with a deeper understanding of its potential impacts, but there are also concerns about technology abuse and ethical issues. Trump's election may have a profound impact on the global AI industry in terms of policies, industrial layout, and international cooperation, bringing both development potential and new challenges and uncertainties.
Kimi analyzed and summarized this issue by searching and reading 82 webpages, with an output of 753 words.
3. ERNIE Bot
In ERNIE Bot's view, Trump's re-election as President of the United States in 2024 will have multifaceted impacts on the global AI industry. For the United States, Trump's policies will promote investment and research and development in the AI field, continuing the "American AI Initiative" to mobilize federal resources while reducing regulation to accelerate industrialization, which may trigger concerns about AI risks. Defense AI applications will be strengthened, while international cooperation may decrease due to Trump's questioning of traditional alliances, with the United States being more active in maintaining its global leadership in the AI field.
For China, Trump's policies will increase technological barriers and market access difficulties, intensifying global AI industry competition and forcing Chinese enterprises to seek new development opportunities, such as strengthening international cooperation and expanding the domestic market.
Globally, the Trump administration may promote a deregulation trend, influencing other countries to consider reducing AI regulation to promote technological innovation. However, this may spark concerns and controversies about AI risks. Global AI industry competition intensifies, international cooperation may decrease, and technological nationalism may rise, affecting global cooperation and development. Countries need to strengthen cooperation to jointly promote the healthy development of the AI industry.
Overall, Trump's election will have a profound impact on the AI industries of the United States, China, and the world. Countries and enterprises need to closely monitor policy changes and adjust strategies in a timely manner to address challenges and opportunities.
ERNIE Bot summarized this issue by referring to 4 news source webpages, with an output of 1170 words.
4. Tongyi Qianwen
Tongyi Qianwen believes that Trump's re-election as President of the United States in 2024 will have complex and far-reaching impacts on the global AI industry. For the United States, the Trump administration is expected to continue promoting deregulation policies, creating a freer market environment for AI enterprises and increasing investment in AI research and development, especially in the defense sector, to drive technological innovation. In terms of international cooperation, the United States may strengthen export controls on AI technologies, restricting the flow of sensitive technologies to competitors like China and promoting stricter international technical standards to maintain its leadership in the AI field. Trump's immigration policy may restrict the entry of foreign technology talents into the United States, affecting the talent supply but also promoting the development of local education and training systems.
For China, Trump's policies may lead to further technological blockades, especially in high-tech fields, forcing China to accelerate independent research and development, reduce dependence on external technologies, and seek alternative suppliers or independently develop key components. The Chinese government may increase investment in the AI field, promote independent innovation, and seek cooperation with other countries to compensate for the impact of US technological blockades.
Globally, the Trump administration may reduce support for multilateral organizations, affecting global cooperation on AI ethics and data security. The United States and China may compete in setting international standards, influencing the standards and norms of the global AI industry. Worldwide, governments and enterprises may increase investment in AI research and development, driving rapid technological development. Changes in technological blockades and immigration policies may affect global AI talent mobility but may also promote the cultivation of local talents. Global concern for AI ethics and privacy will continue to increase, and countries may strengthen the formulation and enforcement of relevant laws and regulations.
In summary, Trump's re-election will have a profound impact on the global AI industry. The United States may strengthen the protection and export control of AI technologies, promote domestic technological innovation, but may also intensify international competition and tensions. China needs to accelerate independent research and development, seek international cooperation, and enhance international competitiveness. Globally, countries need to work together to resolve technological blockades and ethical issues through dialogue and cooperation, promoting the healthy and sustainable development of the AI industry.
Tongyi Qianwen analyzed and summarized this issue by searching and reading 9 webpages, with an output of 1300 words, ranking second in terms of content output, only after Tiangong AI.
5. Doubao
Doubao believes that Trump's re-election as President of the United States in 2024 will have comprehensive and far-reaching impacts on the global AI industry.
For the US AI industry, Trump's policies may reduce operating costs for enterprises, enhance their vitality and innovation drive, especially through tax cuts and deregulation. However, his immigration controls may limit the inflow of highly skilled talent, affecting industrial diversity but potentially promoting local talent cultivation. Trump's emphasis on traditional industries may accelerate the application of AI in traditional fields such as manufacturing, improving production efficiency. Meanwhile, the "America First" policy may bring new challenges and opportunities to US AI enterprises in the international market, affecting product exports and market expansion but also promoting independent research and development.
For the Chinese AI industry, Trump's policies may exacerbate technological blockades, increasing the difficulty of obtaining advanced foreign technologies but also stimulating Chinese enterprises' independent innovation capabilities, accelerating the process of domestic substitution. Trade protection measures may impact Chinese AI enterprises' exports to the United States but also prompt them to expand domestic and other overseas markets, strengthening cooperation with other countries. Additionally, China will place greater emphasis on talent cultivation and introduction, introducing more attractive talent policies, strengthening professional construction, and attracting the return of overseas high-end talent. Facing competitive pressures, cooperation among Chinese AI enterprises will become closer, forming industrial alliances to jointly promote technological innovation and application implementation.
For the global AI industry, Trump's policies may lead to the restructuring of global industrial chains, with enterprises in various countries possibly reassessing their supply chain layouts, strengthening local industrial construction, and reducing dependence on transnational supply chains. US policies may affect cooperation with other countries, interfere with international cooperation projects, and challenge multilateral and bilateral cooperation mechanisms. The development paths of the AI industry in different countries and regions may diverge, with some countries increasing independent research and development investment while others may slow down due to technological blockades and market competition pressures. Nevertheless, countries will expand AI application scenarios in different fields based on their own advantages and needs, promoting the deep integration of technology and traditional industries, injecting new impetus into global economic development.
Doubao analyzed and summarized this issue based on 13 search sources, with an output of 1270 words, ranking third in terms of content output.
6. Tencent Yuanbao
Tencent Yuanbao believes that Trump's re-election as President of the United States in 2024 will have a comprehensive impact on the global AI industry. For the United States, the Trump administration may reduce AI industry regulation to promote innovation, repeal administrative orders from the previous administration that hindered AI innovation, and possibly increase research and development investment to maintain the United States' leading position in the global AI field. Defense AI applications will receive attention, while questioning of traditional international cooperation mechanisms may lead to reduced international cooperation, affecting the United States' AI international cooperation projects. Additionally, the Trump administration may strengthen protective blockades on key AI technologies to resist cross-border acquisitions.
For the Chinese AI industry, the Trump administration may continue to intensify suppression and restrictions in the technology sector, especially in semiconductors, AI, and quantum fields. Trade frictions may intensify, impacting China's export-oriented industries. The global semiconductor industry chain may split, forcing China to accelerate independent research and development and localization. Meanwhile, as US investment reviews on China become increasingly stringent, China needs to research and establish incentive mechanisms to encourage the private sector to invest in and acquire emerging technology enterprises in the United States.
For the global AI industry, the United States may restrict AI technology exports, increase tariffs on AI products from certain countries, and impact the global AI industry chain. The United States may strengthen technological blockades and intellectual property protection, restricting the transfer of key technologies to other countries. The Trump administration may implement the "America First" strategy, focusing on supporting the local AI industry.
In summary, the policies Trump is expected to adopt in the AI field after his election will have a significant impact on the local and global AI industries in the United States. As an important participant in the global AI industry, China needs to actively respond to challenges, strengthen independent innovation and international cooperation, and promote the sustainable development of the AI industry.
Tencent Yuanbao summarized this issue by referring to 9 webpage resources, with an output of 864 words.
7. 360 Brain
360 Brain believes that the impact on the US AI industry includes deregulation, as Trump may repeal the Biden administration's executive orders on AI safety and reliability, providing a freer regulatory environment for AI enterprises and accelerating the commercialization and application of AI technologies. Simultaneously, Trump has pledged to increase investment in the AI field, promoting the United States' leading position in AI. In terms of international cooperation and competition, Trump may continue to pursue the "America First" policy, reducing international cooperation, focusing more on competition with China, and taking measures to protect US AI technology and market.
The impact on the Chinese AI industry is reflected in technological blockades and increased competition. The Trump administration may strengthen technological blockades on Chinese AI enterprises, restrict Sino-US technological exchanges and cooperation, and impose sanctions or restrictions on Chinese AI enterprises. Additionally, Trump may promote the reorganization of the global AI industry chain and supply chain, reducing dependence on Chinese manufacturing, leading to difficulties in China's access to key AI technology components. Facing these challenges, China may increase independent innovation efforts, promote the research and development of domestic AI technologies and products, and reduce dependence on US technologies.
The impact on the global AI industry includes changes in the global AI landscape, especially intensified competition between the two major AI powers, the United States and China. Other countries and regions may seek their own positions and opportunities in this competitive landscape. The United States' reduction in AI regulation may affect global AI regulatory standards, with other countries possibly referring to the US's lax regulatory model or adhering to stricter ethical and safety standards. Trump's policies may lead to a redistribution of global AI capital, attracting more international capital and talent to the United States while also prompting other countries to increase support and investment in their local AI industries.
Overall, after Trump's election, the US AI industry may undergo a process of deregulation and increased investment, enhancing America's competitiveness in the AI field. China may face greater technological blockades and competitive pressure, thereby promoting independent innovation. The global AI industry landscape may undergo significant changes as a result, with countries seeking their own development paths in the new competitive environment.
360 Intelligence analyzed and summarized this issue after searching for 89,367 related results and referencing 6 of the more relevant webpages.
8. iFLYTEK Spark
iFLYTEK Spark believes that Trump's re-election as US President in 2024 will have a complex and multi-dimensional impact on the global AI industry.
For the US AI industry, the Trump administration may continue to implement the "America First" policy, increasing support for domestic AI industries, including R&D funding and tax policy optimization, to enhance the US's AI competitiveness and innovation capacity. Simultaneously, it may strengthen supervision and restrictions on foreign technology enterprises, especially technological blockades and sanctions against China, which may protect domestic enterprises but may also hinder global technological cooperation and affect the long-term development of the US AI industry.
For China's AI industry, the Trump administration's policies may lead to reduced cooperation and even confrontation between China and the US in the AI field, putting pressure on China's AI industry but also potentially prompting China to accelerate independent innovation and reduce external dependence. Trump's tariff policies and trade restrictions may affect the development environment of China's AI industry, such as supply chain disruptions and cost increases, but China's domestic demand market and policy support provide development space for local AI enterprises.
For the global AI industry, Trump's foreign policy and trade protectionism may exacerbate the fragmentation of the global AI industry, increase technical barriers and trade frictions, and hinder cooperation and development. At the same time, these policies may stimulate other countries to increase investment and development in their AI fields to respond to technological competition and security threats, driving profound changes in the global AI industry's competition and cooperation landscape.
Overall, Trump's election will have a multifaceted impact on the global AI industry, including positive driving forces and potential challenges and risks. Countries need to closely monitor international situation changes and flexibly adjust development strategies and policy measures to respond to various possible situations.
iFLYTEK Spark summarized this issue by referencing 5 webpage sources, with an output of 720 words.
9. Wisdom Spectrum Clear Voice
In the view of Wisdom Spectrum Clear Voice, Trump's election as US President in 2024 will impact the global AI industry mainly in the following aspects:
Development of the US AI industry: The Trump administration may increase investment in the AI field to maintain the US's leading position in AI research and application. At the same time, it may repeal previous AI safety and reliability executive orders, reduce regulatory restrictions, and accelerate technological innovation and commercialization.
Impact on China's AI industry: Further development of the US in the AI field may intensify competition between China and the US, prompting China to increase investment in technology research and application to maintain competitiveness. Despite competition, there is still room for cooperation between China and the US in the AI field, especially in addressing global challenges such as climate change and public health.
Impact on the global AI industry: The Trump administration's deregulation policies may affect the global AI regulatory environment, leading other countries to reassess their regulatory policies, potentially relaxing global regulatory standards. Additionally, adjustments in US policy may accelerate global AI technology innovation and application promotion, driving technological progress and industrial upgrading.
Overall, after Trump's election, the US AI industry may experience faster development and a more relaxed regulatory environment, profoundly impacting the global AI industry. China will face fiercer competition but also have opportunities for cooperation. Global AI technology innovation and application may accelerate as a result.
Wisdom Spectrum Clear Voice summarized the answer to this question by reading 5 webpages based on 15 search sources, with an output of 725 words.
10. Tiangong AI
In the view of Tiangong AI, Trump's re-election as US President in 2024 will have a comprehensive and far-reaching impact on the global AI industry.
For the US AI industry, impacts include policy support and increased investment. Trump has promised to ensure the US's leading position in cutting-edge technologies such as AI, potentially increasing investment in areas like drones and robotics. Additionally, the Trump administration may establish barriers to protect the US's AI leadership, reduce the global reliance on US AI, and possibly continue the trade war in the AI field, creating new technological protection and trade barriers. The Trump administration may also create "industry-led" institutions to assess AI models, ensuring system security, while large technology companies like Palantir, Microsoft, Amazon, and Google may benefit from the government's AI initiatives.
For China's AI industry, the Trump administration may continue technological blockades and trade frictions with China, using the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) to pressure China, which may prompt Chinese enterprises to place greater emphasis on independent innovation and technology accumulation, driving independent research and development and industrial upgrading. Meanwhile, Chinese enterprises face diversified market demands, necessitating continuous expansion into international markets and optimization of products and services.
For the global AI industry, the Trump administration's trade barriers may accelerate the reorganization of global supply chains, affecting China's foreign trade enterprises and prompting the transfer of production lines to lower-cost countries. The Trump administration may also promote international cooperation and competition, formulating action plans to protect the US's AI advantages. Furthermore, countries may compete to launch national AI plans to maintain their competitiveness in this field.
Overall, Trump's election will promote the US's leading position in the AI field, and China needs to strengthen independent innovation to address technological blockades and trade frictions. Globally, countries will face the challenge of repositioning and competition.
Tiangong AI analyzed and summarized this issue by referencing 16 webpage links, with an output of 1400 words, consistently ranking first in content output.
One-sentence summaries from ten agents
Finally, let's summarize the views of 10 agents on the impact of Trump's election as the new US President on global AI, as presented by Kimi. ChatGPT believes that Trump's policies will reduce federal regulation, promote market-driven AI development, potentially facilitating commercialization but increasing the risks of technology abuse and privacy concerns. The Trump administration may intensify AI and technology competition between China and the US, prompting China to increase independent research and development and reduce reliance on external technologies.
Kimi points out that Trump's policies may reduce regulation in the AI field, promoting industrial development and capital injection but may also trigger public concerns about AI risks due to insufficient regulation.
ERNIE Bot emphasizes that Trump's policies will drive investment and research in the AI field, reducing regulation to accelerate industrialization but may raise concerns about AI risks.
Tongyi Qianwen believes that Trump's policies may lead to reduced international cooperation in the AI field for the US, with greater focus on competition with China to protect its AI technology and market.
Doubao believes that Trump's policies may reduce enterprise operating costs, enhance enterprise vitality and innovation motivation, but immigration control may limit the inflow of highly skilled talent.
Tencent Yuanbao believes that the Trump administration may reduce regulation in the AI industry to promote innovation, repeal executive orders from the previous administration, and reduce obstacles to AI innovation.
360 Brain believes that Trump may repeal the Biden administration's AI safety and reliability executive order, providing a freer regulatory environment for AI enterprises.
iFLYTEK Spark believes that Trump's policies may lead to reduced cooperation and even confrontation between China and the US in the AI field, putting pressure on China's AI industry.
Wisdom Spectrum Clear Voice believes that Trump's policies will increase investment in the AI field, maintaining the US's leading position in AI research and application.
Tiangong AI believes that Trump's policies will promote the US's leading position in the AI field, and China needs to strengthen independent innovation to address technological blockades and trade frictions.
Which agent's answer do you think is the best?
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